Been a while since my last update and alot has happend, lets get going! Recently Donald Tusk Leaked the casualty numbers from Ukraine and the number is high, Ukraine has lost 27.000 per month, this is dead and wounded and its close to 30.000 that Russia has claimed before. This falls in line with Zelenskyy’s desire to recruit 40.000 so that they can not only replace the losing numbers but also increase the current low number of available soldiers for Ukraine, but remember that recruiting 40.000 a month will be very hard if not impossible for Ukraine and if they loose close to 30.000 a month then it is looking very bad for Ukraine.

If we look at the current situation at the frontlines then it looks good for Russia, if we look at Zaporochye region first then the very important bastion Orekhov is about to fall, this comes after really strong fighting from Russia who very earlie in the battle for Orekhov manage to get a foothold in the center of the City and this gave Russia an advantage and Ukraine collapsed and tried to retreat in order from their positions but Russia took advantages of their positions and moved even further into Orekhov and surrounded alot of Ukrainian troops and thus preventing them from retreating and instead was caught in a cauldren, without any supplies and support from the main forces of Ukraine. Orekhov is very important cause this is the only thing that prevents Russia from attacking the big city of Zaporochye it self, so in that sense it is very important but now witrh the collapse of the ukrainian troops in Orekhov we could hear in a week or less that Orekhov has fallen into Russian hands and then they can move closer to the big city of Zaporochye. Now it will be interesting to see if Russia will undertake such a big task of sieging a city of that size but it has been done before but it will take a long time to clear out every section by section and secure the city slowly but surely.

If we move to the north in the donbass region we have more news, The fighting in Dobropillia near Kramatorsk and Slavjansk is intense and Russia has taken the fight to the center of the city, the fighting is intense and both sides are giving it their best, but everything favours Russia to take this place just like they normaly do, they have surrounded the town all but maybe 1 supply road but that will soon be cut off and then its a matter of time before Russia gets the upper hand, they are very methotical and thorough and like most places its a matter of time before it falls and then there is only 2 places left in the donbass area, namely Kramatorsk and Slavjansk and then there is not really anything between the russians positions and Kiev, no big cities and no landscape that can be used to create a fortress, just alot of flat land and a highway all the way to Kiev which will bne very hard to defend, this is one of the reason why Ukraine never let go of Donbass region willfully cause its the last bastion before Kiev, after the 2 cities plus Dobropillia then its open land all the way to Kiev. Now there are rumours of a relative successfull attack but ukraine in Liman, but the fighting is going back and furth so we dont know how big an area Ukraine has taken back but maybe we will get more information soon, this is the only good news for Ukraine in the donbass region and it might not be that big of a deal but we will see soon enough.

Russia is striking Kiev and other places almost daily with Drones and missiles and there isent really much that Ukraine can do about it, their anti air missiles for their Patriot missile system has run out of ammo and same goes for other alternative missile defenses, except aircraft flying up and shooting drones, thats the only task the f-16 and other aircraft Ukraine has is doing, they can challenge Russia airspace nor to close to the frontline in case they will get shot down so all they can do is fly safely in Ukraine airspace and shoot down drones which is better than nothing.

I know its provoking for many if I say that the best Ukraine can do is to negotiate a peacedeal where they give up donbass and perhaps Zaporochye region and perhaps Krakhow, but i do believe that this is the best Ukraine can do, if they do this they get to keep Odessa which gives Ukraine acces to the sea and the world marked, if they keep fighting then Russia will take more and more and Odessa will end up under the banner of Russia, this is the reality if they keep fighting and loosing as we see atm, the only good thing Ukraine got going is drones but drones dosent take territory, you need manpower for that and here Russia has the overhand, Rumour even has it that Russia will do a supscription to help end the battle in ukraine but I think its not decided yet if he will call upon more troops, so far Russia has recruitet 20.000 every month just on volonteers but that is lsipping up and the numbers are getting lower, so he might need 1 big recruitment to finish battle for Donbass and to threathen to make that 1 big offensive that we have heard so much about every once and a while, But personally i dont think this one big offensive will come, they are outnumbering the Ukrainian forces by 3-1 on the frontlines and they are succesfully but lsowly taking more and more territory and soon Orekhow will fall and Dobropillia will fall and then the machine will keep moving forward so i dont see any reason for Russia to try and gamble with a huge force attacking and breaking ukraine when they can keep doing it methotically and surely like they do atm. The only way Ukraine can win is if the Russia economy collapses, but that is still some way off to happend yet, ill try and include some economy next time i make a post if i can get the numbers for the Russian economy i will.

Keep the flame for truth burning and remember your Seatbelts! Stay Safe! No fate…