Sorry been a while since my last update and alot has happened, so lets jump right into it, first off then Ukraine fired their main General: General Oleksandr Syrskyi, he was the one responsible for the overall process of the Ukrainian military and ofc had the responsibility for the loss of Kostiantynivka, he was replaced with Mykhailo Drapatyi who the Russians regard as less competant than Syrskyi but that is another story. It is ofc is a huge blow for Ukraine to change the leadership in the middle of a war and it is because it is going really bad for Ukraine, something that they hide or paint differently in the western media. In the media they always say it is a stand still and that Russia is having huge losses but reality is different, Ukraine are the ones with bigger losses and in fact the rumour is, that it is so bad with military personal that they have decided that they wanna conscript 40.000 a month from now on so that they can keep up with the losses and maintain their strengh. To compare then Russia gets 20.000 from volunteers each month, that is what Ukraine just conscripts by force each month and since their losses are higher then they are and have been lossing their strengh and numbers for a while now and thus they want to conscript 40.000 every month from now on, but saying it is alot easier then to be doing it, lets see how many they actually conscripe.

Liman is about to fall but Ukraine continues to hold a small part of it with men totally surrounded and supply lines cut and it looks like a matter of a week or so before it falls but Ukraine could drag it out by making multiple counter offensive to maintain a position there and claim that Liman is still standing but its more symbolic than anything related to reality, something that ukraine does alot, doing symbolic gestures and pretending that it isent as bad to the public as it really is, Ukraine may have improved on drones and missile strikes but that doesent win you any territory back and it doesn’t prevent you from loosing any territory as well. Since the fall of Kostiantynivka Russia has been moving closer and closer to Kramatorsk and Slavjansk and they have been working them selves very close to the two remaining cities in the donbass region and they are reportedly only 5 km from these two towns now and soon they will come under attack by the russians once they have encircled the two cities and broken off the supply roads like they always do before a siege starts.

If we move towards the south then Russia has completely cut off all supply roads into Orekhov and have just started entering the city from multiple directions but it could drag out a while so it could be a slow one again like it often is because Russia tries to do it with minimal losses and that requires slower speed and slower push but it has startet in Orekhov and once that city falls then Zaparochye will be open to attacks also.

Odessa has now been blockaded by the sea, this happend because Ukraine attacked grain ships from Russian ports and transport sites and Russia responded in kind and hit every single ship entering Odessa, this bloackade means that nothing is comming into Odessa by sea anymore, most of Ukraine millitary gear and hardware comes via the sea to Odessa and some by rails from Poland and Rumania, Now Rumanian ports will be the destination for the military gear but there is a problem, the ports are much smaller in Rumania so they cant make up for much of the amount needed to transport into Ukraine, they simply cant replace Odessa at any rate, so others will have to increase the amount which they transport military gear into Ukraine and Russia will target the Railways too because they want to make it harder for Ukraine to move it to the front. In the beginning of the war they didnt target the railroads because they wanted Ukraine to move their gear closer to the front so that they could target it with drones and missiles, but now Russia wants to do both, hit the railroads and ofc hit it at the frontlines too.

Another news is that Russia can jam the Star link connections to some degree, how effective it is is yet unkown but it was considered unjammable but that has changed now because of Russians technology, Ukraine want in responds to have acces to the more technically advanced version of the star link which the USA army uses, but because USA doesnt want it to be jammed as well somehow, they have refused it to the Ukrainians, they dont want it to be compromised in the war cause then USA would loose a big technological development and advantaged. Russia has been working on their own satalite to be used with Drones in the future called the Rassvet system, by 2027 Russia will have 292 satalite/arrays up and running so that Russia can use drones everywhere in ukraine which they havent been able to do thus far in the war, but soon they will be able to use drones everywhere and then the number of drones will go up from 6-700 at a time per attack to over 1000 at a time once the Rassvet will be working, it is said to be working now but without ass many satalite arrays yet up but thiis means that soon Russia will be equal in that area too if not better than Ukraine, this was one of the few area’s where Ukraine had the advantages because of the Star Link system.

Another big news is that Ukraine has run out of missiles for their patriot anti air defense systems, this basicly means they now cant defend at all against drones and missile strikes from Russia, the missiles was always a no go even for the patriot system but they could always shoot down some drones here and there but even that is now not do-able, maybe Ukraine has a few european anti air systems but they are very few and scattered, USA has around 1000 patriot missiles in reserves but they need them in the ongoing conflict with Iran so Ukraine didnt recieve any of them after the latest visit to USA by Zelenskyy.

Keep the flame for truth burning and remember your Seatbelts! Stay Safe! No fate…