Lets start with the victory parade day in Russia on the 9th of maj, the rumor is that Trump has helped Russia negotiate a cease-fire for the parade with Ukraine but if it holds remains to be seen, remember that it is a huge symbolic impact for ukraine if they can sarbotage the parade with Drone strikes and create media hysteria over the whole thing in russia and even in the west, so Ukraine is tempted to send drones in over the parade but Putin has warned that they will conduct a large Oreshnic strike in central kiev if the parade is hit in any form. The parade is going to be smaller than usual cause most people and military gear is at the front or near it, this has ofc resulted in propagande in the west that Russia is low on military equipment and men but the truth is far from it, Russia has still far more men than Ukraine and are 3 to 1 in the battlezones plus that Russia has 2 large reserves of over 100.000 men each which can be used for an offensive if they decide they need it or at least used to fill up ranks if it was needed, but the western media are saying that Russia is low on men and gear and that it is visable in the parade but that is a lie, yes Russia has not so many volunteers as they used to have but they still havent used a conscription yet and have enough troops, the only issue Russia has is that if they where to call in more men they will have to take it from the workforce which is holding the Russian economy at float atm, they number of unemployet is at only 3% which means basicly that if anyone wants a job they will get it, 3% is super low, even 5% is a more normal low number.

Zelenskyy has attempted to create a cease-fire without an end date but Russia is not allowing that to happen, they dont want a freeze of the conflict in anyway and will start the conflict again once the victory parade is done. Russia is also not eager to start any new negotiations with Ukraine unless they agree to give up donbass and Zelenskyy has made it very clear that he refuses to give up any territory so we wount see any new negotiations from the 2 parties atm, they will have to fight some more before talks can resume and to be honest i think that as long as Zelenskyy is the president there wount be any negotiations of a serious kind, and Zelenskyy’s position is very secure even admidst rumours of a corruption scandal, he is untouchable because of the many years of build up name and symbolisme of Zelenskyy.

The frontlines are still very slow but the picture is the same still, its russia who are trying to push forward and Ukraine who are defending, in Kostjantynivka the situation is the same as last time, Russia has taken over 50% of the area and is contesting the other half and has surrounded many Ukrainian positions and Russia are trying to make them surrender or give up positions in return for their lives or to face eliminations if the Ukrainien soldiers refuse, so far they have turned down the offers but lets see in the future if that remains.

We also have to talk more about the drones, the drones is also making everything more slow because both sides makes great use of them, Russia is using them abit differently than Ukraine but still the drones are having a big impact on the battlefront on both sides, its much harder to push and attack than it is to defend and since its the russians who are still pushing and attacking then they are the ones who are victim the most to the drone warfare and because of this I dont believe we will see any big Russians offensive this summer, I talked about it abit last time but now im convinced that any big offensive will be met by a swarm of drones and the casualties will be to high, but Russia has announce some new technology to better track down the drones operators and more, but when this new warfare equipment will come to the warzone is yet unknown and we dont know how big an impact it will have yet. Both sides has plenty of drones also, Ukraine are getting drones from many countries and ofc also building some themselves but other than drones then Ukraine are low on basicly everything else, military equipment and manpower and leadership and so on. Russia still out produces the west in military equipment and still have plenty of manpower but they are ofc not immune to criticisme in the media over the loss of soldiers so they too have to manage their losses like Ukraine is trying to.

That’s all for this time, I will try and make more post about the war but the conflict in Iran is taking up the media space so much that it is harder to find good and reliable sources on the conflict in Ukraine other than propaganda.

Keep the flame for truth burning and remember your Seatbelts! Stay Safe! No fate…