Ukraine update 12/8, speculation around Kursk incursion

For the last several days the media has been filled with reports from the Sumy region and the Kursk region, I think its too early to say how well it is going but I wanna speculate a little bit about what the goal is/was, besides removing focus on the rest of the frontline were Russia is pushing forward every single day, some times very little, other times a lot, perhaps we have to move back in time to find out what the goal is/was and I believe it is the Nuclear Power Plant in the Kursk region which seems to be the target, and if I am right then Ukraine has for the moment failed but lets look back in time.

I remember back in late 2022, I believe, when an international Nuclear Agency was invited to inspect the Zaporizhia Power Plant in order to make sure there were no danger for a nuclear meltdown risk but as the inspectors landed in Ukraine the Ukrainian military and perhaps special forces made a sneak attack on the power plant, the goal was back then to take control of it and then use the Nuclear inspectors to declare it a safe zone so that Russia couldn’t take it back, but it failed and Russian forces withstood the attempt. But the power plant has also been attacked early in the war where Zelenskyy had to say in public that who ever was attacking it should stop which was a clear admission that some forces took upon them selves to fire Hi-Mars at the plant, luckily the dmg was small and we avoided a possible nuclear meltdown, but that’s not the only story from the Zaporizhia power plant, at some point early this year I believe or perhaps late last year there were rumors coming from Ukraine that they wanated to try an attack the power plant again in order to show the west a kind of Trophy and also to have something to bargain with or better yet, divert the energy towards Ukraine instead of the east. Now Ukraine didn’t go through with this attack but it was spoken about for some time but never pursued.

Now do people remember the incursion of the Belgorod region? The one that also failed but took a bit before Russia could expel all of the Ukrainian forces but the goal was a nuclear facility in the Belgorod region where some believed there might be a nuclear missile still but that was never confirmed and because it failed people moved on pretty quickly. Now as you can see it is not unlikely that the goal in the Kursk region was the Nuclear Power Plant and I am leaning towards this explanation until we get more information that either confirms it or opens op for a more plausible scenario then the Nuclear Power Plant is the object of desire from Ukraine, but before we leave this story there is a small side topic which is related that I wanna go into.

Namely that during the Incursion in Belgorod there was some complaint from Russia to USA that the attack into Russian territory was done with USA arms, now why is this important? Because USA and Russia has made a kind of Gentleman agreement that they dont provide weapons to each others opponents. That was also one of the reasons that USA left Afghanistan because 1 – They were anticipating the war in Ukraine and 2 – they understood that if things escalated that Russian could in secret provide arms to the Taliban or other places where USA are present, Syria, Iraq or what have you. So Russia complained about the Incursion was using the best of the USA had to offer and USA corrected it self by telling the Ukrainians not to use their weapons inside Russian Territory meaning outside of the zone of conflict. Now as far as I can read, the Ukrainian Incursion is armed with the very best gear from Nato and USA and that Ukraine used Nato tactics to enacts the Incursion but so far I haven’t heard of any complaint from Russia this time so perhaps we are far past the point of the gentleman agreements, meaning that both sides has left this agreements and thus both USA and Russia can sell or provide weapons to anyone of each others enemy.

Now this is really worrisome if they both have left the agreements cause this means the middle east (And perhaps Africa later on) could be the destination of more modern arms like surface to air missiles and a lot of other modern gear, during Iraq or the other conflicts USA has always fought against an opponent who were inferior to them in terms of weapon tech and air superiority and so on, but if Russia who already are making friends with Iran and other countries in the middle east, wants too, then they could force USA’s hands on the current conflict in Gaza and thus want to expand the conflict in order to strike at them before they become stronger and this will get harder to control, which USA so desperately wants to.

Again diplomacy is never used by USA besides telling others want to do, in fact USA has almost put 1/3 of the world in some form of sanctions and that number is really high but also tells that USA is facing changes around the world that they cannot solve by just putting a gun to someone’s head and say they must comply, USA needs change in their foreign politics, today there is a yearning from many countries to avoid USA in trades because USA often freezes assets or threaten with sanction but the Brics initiative has given many countries an option away from USA and because the Brics has a consensus voting system I believe then its very attractive to join them and many has, and January the 1st this year the Brics+ surpassed the G7 in terms of purchasing power which is the correct way many says to measure how well an economy is doing.

Now back to Ukraine, this are not doing so well in the line of conflicts, there is like 4 location where the conflicts is the hardest and Ukraine just open up a 5th front and if Russia manage to pushe them out of Kursk region then Russia could keep pushing downwards and keep this 5th front going, now there might be 1 alternative to this incursion and that is that Ukraine and Nato were testing new Nato tactics and that this could be a prelude before a real Ukrainian offensive but since the Kursk attack failed in terms of getting to the Nuclear Power Plant then did perhaps test out new forms of tactic and perhaps we will see this in some fashion, I still suspect that there will be fighting in Kherson and towards the Crimea peninsula at some point cause the west is obsessed with it for a very long time.

Keep the flame for truth burning and remember your Seatbelts! Stay Safe! No fate…

Leave a comment