Ukraine update 29/9, short update

Kupiansk continues to be one of the focus points in the war and now we are informed that not only has Russia captured 2/3 of it, they have also cut off 600-700 Ukrainian troops inside by surrounding them and having fire control over the roads leading into the soldiers area, so the supply roads are under fire now and the situation is grim for Ukraine in Kupiansk and despite many reinforcements then Russia looks poised to take over Kupiansk in a week or two. Potrovsk looks bad too but Ukraine still has around 50% or abit less, Russia has moved pass the railroads which has been used as a natural defensive line by Ukrainians and ofc by the Russians them selves because of how the Railroads are constructed in Ukraine and this allows for good defensive positionings but now Russia has taken it and are pushing forward. You would think that since Russia is moving east towards West that this would mirror the battle inside the city’s but that is often wrong because of the surroundings then many times Ukraine finds some good locations and then Russia takes places around it and that often leads to situations where Russia has some part of the Western Cities but not the eastern parts because how the Ukrainians have chosen to take the fight. So often the battle is west towards east even as Russia is comming from the east in the first places which makes some of the battle reports confusing sometimes.

Russia hit Ukraine with over 500 drones and over 60 cruise missiles over the past day, the Russians informs they are targeting Military Industriel buildings and production lines across Ukraine, but we are also now hearing Zelenskyy threaten Moscow with strikes incomming soon, so it’s pretty safe to say that soon the long awaited missiles from the West will be deployed and fired into Russia, this will be a big change in current warfare where Ukraine has had very little impact across Russia with missiles and instead done military operations targeting airfields deep inside Russia with drone operations from trucks. Now Ukraine will target military targets inside Moscow and probably St. Petersburg and let’s see if Ukraine hits the Kreml as I suspect they cannot avoid since it would be a very big symbolic status if they did even if it is “only” a governmental building and so far Russia has avoided hitting Ukraine’s governmental buildings unless by mistake or a stray missiles or drone.

Zelenskyy has asked for the use of the American Tomahawk missiles which has a very long range and in theory could be fitted with nuclear warheads if it where needed but let’s see if USA accepts this, Ukraine already has 2 new missiles, the British Flamengo and the new German one which I still dunno the name of yet but it’s build from a Taurus cruise missiles and then developed further for use in Ukraine. So seems to me that Ukraine will have many options to fire back at russia in the near future and the only question remains is how many can the Russian air-defence shoot down when they come? The flamengo flies very high like a ballistic and that should give the Russians air defense good chance to spot them and intercept them, I dunno about the German one yet and the Tomahawk is pretty old also which would in theory be less effective against the Russians air-defences, but still USA has many thoussands in stock of them and could easily deliver several thoussands to Ukraine if Trumps agree’s, even if it would be an escalations cause remember the cruise missiles are controlled by USA them selves and target select by Americans, something that the Ukrainianshave not been allowed to do them selves out of fear that they will be irrational with the missiles and waste alot of them on small targets, plus trying to keep the technology on based to know basis and limit the informations around it which could be used to counter it.

Keep the flame for truth burning and remember your Seatbelts! Stay Safe! No fate…

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