So let’s start at the battlezone, according to the russians then they have taken 66% of Kupiansk, Kupiansk is important because it has a railroad line that divides into 3 directions from Kupiansk, so by controlling Kupiansk you control the surrounding area’s and that is a big deal. There is still alot of fighting going on in Potrovsk and the area’s around Potrovsk and it is very important too, it’s one of the best fortified area’s in the region and loosing it would be devastating for Ukraine and that’s why they keep commiting more forces in the area and refuses to give in but Russia still has 50% of Potrovsk and most of the villages near it. Ukraine fired 2 commanders recently because of Russian progress in the donbass area and this is a sign that it’s going bad for Ukraine. Zelenskyy has also said at some point that Ukraine can’t retake any territory taken by Russia, they simply don’t have the strengh to go on the offensive and choses to defend with everything they got and trying to delay the defeat and trying to talk up how slow the Russians are progressing and even calling it a win, that’s how low the bar is atm and that is a bad sign.
Trump made some statements yesterday, or the day before, that Ukraine can regain their territory over time and get back to its original strengh and size, at the same time he mentions that Nato and EU will pay for the military send to Ukraine and hereby signaling that USA is taken a more backseat approach, through he also mentions that there will be no restrictions on the weapons which there has been before and this probably means that Ukraine will fire missiles into Moscow and St. Petersburg and some of those I suspect will be civilians targets. Trump also replied to questions about the MIC’s flying over Nato space and he said shoot them down! But this has been corrected by Maro Rubio and Mark Rutte who both said no to that and that it has to be based on individual cases and not just shoot on sight. This show’s Trump’s bad handling ability of Big politics like War, he doesn’t think at all of the consequences if they shot down a russian Jet out of the blue, this would clearly lead to more escalations and dangerous times.
Trump signal is very clear, Ukraine and Russia has to fight it out and that looks bad for Ukraine cause they are on the loosing end, they might do better if EU countries joined the fight but that would mean war against Russia and that is impossible. but no more embarrising “peace” talks, where Trump pleases everyone and put’s no pressure on Zelenskyy or Putin for that matter, none of that garbage and poor management of the conflict by Trump.
My guess is that Ukraine are getting ready to use the two new missiles from UK and Germany soon and that they will target further into Russia territory and the big questions is if the Russians Anti-air can shoot it down or rather how fast it can adapt to these missiles like they did with the previous missiles like the Shadow missiles or Taurus, Scalp or what have you. Remember that right now the russians have an advantages of 3/1 at the battleline with Soldiers and with air superiority.
Keep the flame for truth burning and remember your Seatbelts! Stay Safe! No fate…
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