Ukraine conflict, artillery numbers, soldiers and conscription, Drones

Just wanted to mention some numbers from the Ukraine conflict, just to give people an understanding on the difference between Ukraine and Russia when it comes to strength and ability. Alexander Mercouris mentioned some numbers when it comes to Artillery, here Russia topped at one point the board with 40.000 shells fired on a single day, but that dropped to 22.000 on an average day because Ukraine were successful in destroying some very large ammunition depots, but lately Russia is up to 28.000 on a daily average shells fired and at some point they should return closer to the 40.000 artillery shells fired a day. If we compare that to Ukraine who reportedly are fire ring around 10.000 meaning that Russia has the superiority of 3/1 and that number could rise to 4/1 at some time if Russia manage to build up the depots again.

Another interesting numbers is the conscription number, here Ukraine has said that they need 30.000 a month of new recruits to maintain the current strength they have and atm they are not getting that, more like half or perhaps 20.000. You could also take the 30.000 needed per month to say that it means that Ukraine is losing 1000 men a day if they need 30.000 a month to maintain their current strength, that’s even a set a bit low, since sometimes the casualties for dead AND Wounded goes up some days to like 1300 or more some days, the highest I saw it was over 2000 at one time in 2024 a few month in and towards summer but I must admit I dunno how high it is atm but my guess it is around 1000 a day or abit over, last numbers I saw was around 1100 dead and wounded. Now its a bit harder to find numbers on how many Russia recruits, they just had the mandatory conscription which gave 150.000 new young recruits but they are to undergo 6-12 month of training and later could be call into the war if Russia wants too, Russia has a poll of 5 million people they can call in if they feel they need too, that’s a huge reserve to be able to take from, unlike Ukraine who doesn’t have that kind of pool, yeah they could call up a bit more than they have now but not without political consequences hence why they offered a decent fee contract to the young people hoping that they would enlist freely and thus not having to force them in.

In terms of Drones there are also a gab between them but I must admit I dunno how big it is, Russia builds its owns drones whereas Ukraine use or did use in the past a commercial drone that they refitted to fit the purpose, so Russia are building it from scratch and thus have an advantages in terms of innovation if you ask me cause they custom build the drones from scratch, they also where the first to use Fiber Optic drones which cannot be jammed, but Ukraine had to jump on that wagon cause else they would loose bigtime in the drone war. Now Russia has more drones operators but again I dunno the numbers but a conservative guess would be 50% more drones if not 100%, but life as a drone operator is not easy, first they have to be near the conflict zone and even worse their signal can be traced back to them selves via technology and thus be target for missiles and drones or artillery if they are close enough. That’s what I wanted to share, just a few numbers to better put things into perspective, Russia is slowly winning the war on many fronts and that pace could hasten because of the good spring weather and a coming summer that could unleash a huge Russian offensive that could break the lines of Ukraine but we will see if it happens.

Keep the flame for truth burning and remember your Seatbelts! Stay Safe! No fate…

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