Lets start with Trump, there are many rumors and its still early days so it’s all still speculation but the first 2 rumors have hit the net, first one made a claim that Trump wants a freeze and if that fails he will try and fight Russia with very cheap oil, Drill Baby Drill! is what Trump calls it and the plan is to allow for a lot of oil drill permits and to flood the market with cheap oil so it falls to around 50 dollar a barrel, in this way the money Russia gets from their oil will tank and put pressure on the Russian Economy, this is the first rumor.

The second rumor is that trump and his team doesn’t believe, that Ukraine is in a position to get Crimea back and thus should consider it lost. This is horrible news for the west cause they have been more focused on Crimea in a very unrealistic way and thus this rumor will not be received well but this is what the rumor is atm.

Now there is a lot of speculation on weather USA will pull out off Ukraine slowly once Trump is in office, the people Trump is rumored to pick in the Neo-Con group are people who are less focused on Russia and more on China and this will ultimately mean USA will stop its involvement and focused more on China and ofc also the middle-east.

Joe Biden has reassured support to Ukraine as long as he can and he has just ordered to deliver 500 missiles used for the air-defense systems like the Patriot system. There has also been rumors of a huge loan perhaps but the problem is that if they borrow Ukraine a ton of money to last a hole year then the issue is what happens with the money if the war ends in 3-4 month right? So for now its all speculation except the missiles delivery, perhaps Trump will leave Ukraine in the hands of EU, btw the reason why Trump’s cease-fire plan or freeze will not succeed is because Russia doesn’t want it because it will allow Ukraine to re-arm and train up troops for another start on the conflict and ofc Russia see’s no reason why they should allow that, Russia wants a neutral Ukraine and ofc the 4 regions in the Donbass and ofc also that Crimea is out of the question for Ukraine, but the longer the times goes the more likely Russia will increase their demands for a peace because they are getting closer to a operationel victory on the battlefront.

I wanna share the daily report from the Russia ministry of Defense, the reason why I will share their numbers is because that I have found them pretty reliable within a reasonable range, I followed very closely 2023 and the daily number lined up very well with the 220.000 dead or wounded for the entire year shared by the Russian Ministry of Defense and therefor I think their numbers are in the right ballpark and give us a good idea on how the situation is. Now Lets go to the report from november 12 and reports from 24 hours up to the 12th.

First we start in Battlegroup North who reports that the casualty number is around 60 dead and wounded.

Then we move to Battlegroup West who reports they have eliminated 470 personal, that is still dead and wounded including a few artillery and 1 electronic warfare system and 4 field ammunition depots.

Then we go to Battlegroup South, they report that they have eliminated 765 dead or wounded, including 2 electronic warfare systems, 1 personel carrier, a couple of artillery and 2 fields ammunition depots.

Battlegroup center reports that 470 has been eliminated dead or wounded, including 1 leopard tank, 3 armored personel carriers, Kozak armored vehicle and a few artillery again.

Battlegroup East reports that they have eliminated 150 dead or wounded including: 1 tank and 1 howitzer.

Battlegroup Dnepr reports of 70 people killed or wounded, 4 motor vehicles and 1 field ammunition depots.

All in all it adds up 1985 dead or wounded and if we take that as an average then it means around 60.000 a month and this has been the pattern for several month, ever since June and until now which is 300.000 dead or wounded since June and until end Oktober, that number alone is terrifying and also explains why most of the West are in a panic, Ukraine is fighting the best it can and in many places they put up a strong fight but still the signs are all pointing to the same conclusion: Russia is winning and Ukraine is lacking manpower and the average age is 45 in the Ukrainian army.

I seriously hope that the West and especially EU will come to their senses again and realise we must “win peace” before Ukraine loses the war and I can promise that once Russia takes an area I think it is very unlike that they will give it back meaning that the longer it goes the harder the peace conditions will be.

Keep the flame for truth burning and remember your Seatbelts! Stay Safe! No fate…