The numbers for september has been aired, though we have to remember that it is from the russian side but they have in the past been very accurate, especially in 2023, weather or not we can still call them accurate if ofc hard to tell but I do believe that they do reflect the situation in the war even if they can be inflated abit. First lets look at the death toll for 2023, Russia said that around 220.000 has been killed for wounded, these numbers was taken by the Ukrainian communication from the front to the HQ and Russian had the ability to listen in on them and therefor the numbers where pretty accurate, on top of this the average number coming from the Russian ministry of defense who publish casualties every day and the 220.000 was in the ballpark of the daily numbers summed up.

But after the Avdeyevka battle the daily numbers soar up and it peaked in the summer where the report where that 115.000 had been killed or wounded in Juni+July together, that was the highest number ever throughout this war and August increased to 60.000 and now the numbers from September has come and they are at 70.000! So if we believe the reports then we have over 4 month a total number of 245.000! more then all of 2023! This was the reason why I said that we have entered the late game of the war, these numbers are unsustainable for anyone and it dosent look like it will change, now Alexander Mercouris did say that perhaps the reason for the increase last month is because of new recruits who has been sent to the front prematurely because of desperate times and that may be true, i have no way of supporting but it seems likely.

Vuhledar has fallen! a city with around 12.000 citizens before the war and that is perhaps not the biggest place but it is a big part of the Zelenskyy defensive line and it will weaken other defenses once Russian pushes forward again. One sad story did appear, a leader of one of Ukraine’s best unit was told to stay and fight until death and got surrounded by the Russians, their leader tried to get them to retreat but was fired for trying to drag them out, out of 1500-2000 where rumored to have been surrounded but yesterday they manage to retreat but only around 350 manage to get out alive while the rest was either killed or some captured. The reason they were asked to defend with their life was because Zelenskyy was going to USA and he didnt wanted to have Vuhledar to fall as he went there, that would have look bad and also forced people to talk about Vuhledar.

Reality is starting to sink in, but they are panicking and their options are very limited amt, people have painted them selves into a corner and admitting that peace should be discussed more seriously than Zelenskyy so called peaceplan, sadly because everyone are so desperate then many people are pointing to the long ranged missiles as somekind of wonder weapon, the eliksir that will cure all the problems and alot of people in the West is clinging on to false belief, they have realised that Ukraine is losing but they cant compute it in their minds, so the long range missiles are what they put their “faith” in, a game changer and what have you, but that is not fooling anyone, even Lloyd Austin said that Russia has moved their airplanes so far away that the missiles cant reach them and therefor they wont be able to change anything but the people in the western countries dosent wanna look in the reality, Ukraine has said them selves that Russia fires 12 artillery for every 1 Ukrainian artillery and how USA has not been able to increased ammunition after 2.5 years into the war is beyond my belief… How no one has critique USA is also beyond anyones belief, insted they have bought ammunition all over the world for artilley WITHOUT increasing their own production and instead asked EU to start increasing and I fear there has been a battle to avoid being the one who has to implode their economy over artillery production cause they aren’t cheap. But imo USA and NATO has been behind the planning and strategy in this war and how they have failed to deliver is again insane to think about… and now people in the west is panicking, reality is setting in and it is about time we had some adults in the room and start moving to more serious peace talks and sadly Ukraine cannot get one with some territory loss, that is at least my view.

Can peace still be archieve? Yes but it requires some realism from the West and I also fear that USA has to park Zelenskyy in Miami where he has alot of real estate provided by USA, Zelenskyy is under threat of the Azov who has told him that if he tries to talk about peace he will be hanged in one of the streets in Kiev that Azov has some relation to. Retoricly Zelenskyy has also had an absolutist peaceplan that he cannot move away from without loosing his position as the President, I believe that perhaps Zelenskyy should step aside and let someone else in the talk together with USA and Russia. China and Brazil has worked on a peace plan and Switzerland has said they lean towards that plan after they denied to hold a Zelenskyy peace plan part 2 in Switzerland, its clear that they wanna maintain neutrality and thats why they have look at the other plan as well. I hope they can resolve this peacefully soon but perhaps Biden wants the election over in november because he is afraid of loss of face if they hold peace meetings before, because of all the positioning in the past, like in this until the last Ukrainian and that is what they are doing now! fighting to litterally the last man…

Keep the flame for truth burning and remember your Seatbelts! Stay Safe! No fate…