It’s no secret I have a different openion than most when it comes to who were responsible for the war, imo the war not only could have, but should have been prevented and the West holds a huge factor in the making of the war and are today also still escalating the war. But before people get triggered then lets take a look on the events that will help show you an alternative narrative than is shared in the media.

The earliest back I will go is all the way back to 90’s were an advisor to Bill Clinton, I believe named Brzezinski although im not 100% sure, told Clinton that the Demograph in Ukraine didnt make sense and that it could lead to a conflict, cause there were many Russian inside eastern Ukraine. Now its very important you understand that this has nothing to do with the war it self, it wasent planned all the war back then but the information is vital in understanding this war and why it got out of hand. Cause when you have a mixed Demographic then any polarization of the country will lead to one of two options, the first is that one of the population group will be forced out (Like Israel are trying), but far worse it could be that the country breaks up and new borders are made which fits the demographics, this is obvious but seldom understood and Ukraine had only to look at Afghanistan and Syria who both got destroyed cause it ended between the 2 major countries of USA and Russia. Again this information is usefull to understand and now lets go further.

In 2008 William Burns, a former US ambassador to Russia informed Washington that a Nato expansion to Ukraine would lead to an invasion, at that time William Burns was an ambassador, he is now the CIA Director. Here is the article and the leaked msg he sent:

US gov’t knew NATO expansion to Ukraine would force Russia to intervene – Geopolitical Economy Report

So already in 2008 USA knew if they kept moving Nato into Ukraine, Russia would invade, so this is another warning just like you could argue that Brzezinski talk about Demographic in Ukraine also was.

Now earlie 2014 USA made a political coup inside Ukraine and you can hear on this leaked phone call by Victoria Nuland how they talk about who to put where and this was februar in 2014, here it is:

This is the same time that the Maidan revolution began to oust the elected Viktor Janukovitj who was more pro east (russia) during the maidon revolution he agreed to call for a new election because of the protest but as you can hear USA had other plans, the leaked phone call says so much, they knew who they wanted and who they didnt want. As a result of this instability Russia, who had a contract with Ukraine which allows military base and military on Crimea, decided to reinforce Crimea with more troops to make sure that the West wouldnt try something in regards to Crimea, so they overtook it completely but they already had a naval base and military for ages and only in formal did the Crimea belong to Ukraine. We can disagree on this but that is my view on this.

Then came the Minsk agreements 1 and 2 where Angela Merkel admitted that they only stalled for time in the Minsk agreement 2 which shows that the West was not interested in a peace solution. On top of this Ukraine made it illigal to speak Russian and banned the language all together and also burned some few books in some weird symbolic gesture as well as trashed Russia culture in a country like Ukraine where everyone knows someone who speak russian or can speak it them selves, so the polarization was strong already there, first a revolt against a pro Russian BUT elected president and then against anything related to Russia, which brings us back to the 2 options that a polarization would deliver, either Russians would have to be forcved out of eastern Ukraine or the country would split up and the borders whould have to be agreed upon again. As a result of the banning of the Russian language and culture, lead to people in the donbass to create a sepratisk movement as a respons which problaby got arms from Russia but Ukraine only had to leave them alone but instead sent their army down there to attack them and shoot shell into the city area of Luhansk and Donetsk which over a long period resulted in over 14.000 killed in the donbass region. A clear provocation by Ukraine and attempt to polariza even harder.

So in 2014-2022 Putin saw the fighting and killing in the Donbass area and also Nato creeping closer plus several of security agreements from the cold war be destroyd and eliminated which put him in a tough position, he talked to China and explained the situation that no one wanted to speak or negotiate and got the green light to invade if he waited to after the Olympics in China, so Putin did what William burns warned about and acording to Putin him self he was also frustratet that the negotiation in minsk 2 was going no where and no one seemed serious in the talks so he decided to invade and go as fast as possible to Kiev with an army in order to get people to the negotiating table. This is at least Putin’s version of events and he added while beeing in Kiev that Emmanuel Macron and Olaf Scholz told Putin he was holding a gun to the head in the negotiations and Putin said: Alright, and he pulled out of Kiev but was attacked as they did this by Ukraine.

This is the accounts of Putin, if they are true I cant say 100% but he did go against his military leader and went straight to Kiev and while leaving the city, the war broke out for real. Now only 2 month into the war, around april, Putin and Zelenskyy were actualy very close to a peace deal, this was in instanbul turkey where they agreed on the conditions for peace and only needed signatures to begin the plans and agreements, but learning this USA (my guess) sent Boris Johnson down there to spoil it and promise everything they needed in military aid and so on. The information came from Ukraineske Pravda but reportet by several media in the west:

Boris Johnson Pressured Zelenskyy to Ditch Peace Talks With Russia: Ukrainian Paper | Common Dreams

Zelenskyy sadly chose to side with USA and UK even if he was elected as president because he ran for peace and btw he only spoke Russian to begin with and had to learn Ukraine fast since they made Russiaqn language illigal. So several of warnings or pointers later they ended up in a war risking what happend to Afganistan and Syria, fragment and destruction and today we see that, the country will no matter what be devided again and new borders will determed the size of Ukraine. This was the reality at the moment of polarization, either they had to force ALL russian out of a country who had millions of Russian in the eastern Ukraine living peacefully together with Ukraine people or the country would be devided again with new borders, this is the 2 options and today we see clearly sadly, no one believes that the borders will ever be the same PERIOD.

Now to end this post I wanna add 2 comments made by Obama, now there have been many good comment and waarning by many people but Obama’s two really explains and sement what has happend.

Firstly he said that Russian has Escalatory Superiority, this means that because the conflict is so close to the Russian border and Capital it’s easier for Russia to escalate cause its so close he can call it an existential need to do so. This is why Ukraine and the West are still behind with military aid while Russia is getting stronger and stronger, as Obama said it: Escalatory Superiority.

Acording to the former CIA analytic Ray McGovern who has been in the CIA for 50 years then in 2016 Obama said that : There is NO WAY Ukraine can beat Russia and we shouldnt give them the idea that they can prevail against Russia

This is a powerfull statement that ring true in 2016 and still rings true, today Ukraine believes they are winning while Russia are very confident of succes and are soon ready for an actual Russian offensive with tanks and mechanize vehicles and so on which Putin said just 1 month ago and in 2 month time perhaps we will see it, all the while Ukraine believes they are winning, even if russia this year has ALL the iniiative and are having slow and steady progress setting up for the big offsive once they feel confident that it will work.

Just imaging these 2 strong statements from Obama: Russia has Escalatory Superiority, and Ukraine cant win and we shouldnt make them believe they can prevail against Russia.

Let me repeat I only want peace and Ukraine to still be a country in the future but Western Leaders have paintet them into a corner because of hybris and neoliberal thinking and mindset while they cant see the macro level of the war because they are so focused on the micro level, they also spend way to much time tribalizing Europa and I even feel Ukraine paid a hard price because of the focus there.

IMO we are on the wrong side of Hitory in the West and even as many could see it like Obama they still went ahead and did it because of the blind and stupid anger towards Russians, totally irrasional and stupid by the West and it never stops.

Keep the flame for truth burning and remember your Seatbelts! Stay Safe! No fate…